Friday, 12 August 2016

Reflecting back a year after the PBOC Yuan devaluation

Calmness and confidence were the flavours of the day yesterday as the world used a moment of retrospection to remind itself of the events that happened a year ago when the People's Bank of China sudden devaluation of the Yuan marked the beginning of a financial volatility storm that blew away out of touch complacency and filled the air with fear.

Although the move helped bring about a correction in Chinese equity valuations that had drawn in so many deluded citizens hoping to cash in on the "never ending" stock craze casino, it hasn't driven it back enough for real investors to feel comfortable of a realistic outlook.

At the time I can recall making the suggestion that the weight of China in the global economic equation was truly felt by the shockwaves it sent throughout the world financial system that held it down for the next six months after it had happened. I still believe the day marked a point where China could no longer throw smokescreens in front of the market and expect it to go unnoticed.

The core of uncertainty emanated from the consistent interference from Chinese officials in various parts of the economy with many expecting such drastic action by the PBOC to imply greater intervention in the future. However the central bank must be applauded for staying its ground after realizing soon enough that such undertaking would tarnish the reputation of its fragile investment image that's suffered tremendously and possibly harm future prospects.

But the real test a year later is will they continue to abide by this stance of non-interference or will they take their chances and challenge the limitless might of the market as a whole?  

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