Often a trade will work out nicely however the trader is left with the question; "Is this the correct exit level?"
You might get lucky and pick the right level or worse you exit too soon and the trade would've worked out even better had you held on longer.
Having a set point where you 'd like to exit tells you that you have calculated some realistic measure of movement you expect to be reached as well as prepared yourself to follow the trade through without stressing if your target will be reached thus eliminating uncertain feelings.
— tradimo (@tradimo) September 25, 2015
Fed Chair Janet Yellen gave a statement yesterday after US markets were closed which seemed to filter through the markets in a more positive light than last week's announcement of no increase in the Fed Funds rate. Yellen was assertive that she saw an increase likely to happen this year but went on to express uncertainty over external factors that had held back the Fed's decision.
I believe this is what the market was looking for rather than a morbid picture painted of the global financial system in turmoil. If we look at the performance financial markets have given back after QE ended it's not difficult to understand there is a concern that the market is relying too heavily on free money.
The Fed has been confident is its policy over the past 6 years which the market relies on to guide them. However not lifting rates would suggest that the Fed fears that doing that would have a negative impact on the US economy but in the same breathe singing an optimistic tune of improvements made.
Yellen: Optimistic about rate hike later this year - Deutsche Bank http://t.co/ow4y2GJwS8
— FXStreet News (@FXstreetNews) September 25, 2015
It seems there's no stopping the emerging market currency rout as the selloff deepens. Fears over when the Fed will lift rates has tempered the Bears into overdrive as many of these emerging economy's lack the sufficient growth themselves to begin lifting there own interest rates.We stuck in a catch 22 situation, either they lift rates to keep the difference between developed economies and theirs at a reason width and at the same time strangle the little economic activity that is left or keep them on hold and burden the public with inflationary imports. One things for sure, I'm glad I'm not a central banker at the moment.
Emerging market currencies near lows, as Brazil defends Real. Pressure on Rand, Ringgit, Peso and Turkish Lira. pic.twitter.com/M06nHlQjgE
— Colin McLean (@colinmclean) September 25, 2015
No comments :
Post a Comment