Showing posts with label Trading Psychology. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Trading Psychology. Show all posts

Saturday, 19 November 2016

The Closing Position: Wrap of this Week's Blogs




Thursday, 17 November 2016

Does trading allow all the freedom you want?

One of the biggest allure's people have in gravitating towards a career as a trader rests on the notion that the freedom it affords those who make a success of it is probably the highest in the world. The error of falling into this line of thinking only makes its presence known when an aspirant trader, whose whole life has been shaped around rules and laws of society, finds misfortune at the opposite end of it's outcome leaving a vastly different perspective to a previously idealistic thought.

Although the freedom we attain through taking control of our financial well-being and shifting our profession from being boxed in under a job title into a much more independent role as sole decision maker with the liberty to stimulate our growth as we see necessary, the completeness of freedom should never be overstated.

I often recall the literature of the late Mark Douglas contained in his book Trading in the Zone where he spoke at length about the difficulty most traders find themselves in when dealing with contradictions stemming from their reluctance to depart from their habitual ways learnt from the ordinary process of being exposed to the world along with its beliefs.

However in markets nothing is ever fixed and no exact moment is replicated, it's in constant evolution from the status quo and as much as we'd like to think there's a hierarchy of intellectual authority on the market none such thing exists for freedom allows for the ease of adjustment to new information and not the imposition of an individual's opinion on the market.      

I found an excellent quote by Steve Burns, a leading mentor and author of numerous books on trading, that clearly described the trait of traders who've mastered the understanding of survival in financial markets by saying;  
The fact of it all is we might believe there's a considerable amount of freedom attached to trading for a living, a trader's real success is bound to his ability to recognize the change in behaviour of the market before committing too far into a lost cause as well as how easily he can adapt to that change.

Price, in it's rawness, is the only indicator that accurately exhibits a true reflection of the market's mood at any point in time. Mastering the skill of understanding the tone of veracity displayed in the movement of price is a major step towards accepting your view on the market is singular and possibly possesses flaws which can only be verified through the process of market action.

Monday, 14 November 2016

Why systems aren't the only importance in trading

I stumbled across an interesting tweet this morning that came from Assad Tannous, the founder of Asenna Capital and much revered trader within the trading community having accumulated a wealth of experience through personal encounters in financial markets and offering pearl's of wisdom he learnt from his time as a novice most of which aspiring traders face frequently.

Today's lesson came from a common fallacy accepted by new traders that leans towards placing a considerable amount of priority on developing a trading system while neglecting to recognize the importance of the other remaining aspects involved in trading that all play an important part in ensuring long term success.

I couldn't agree more with the statement as I can often recall going on a frantic search in finding the "Holy Grail" of systems that would generate me returns every time I decided to participate in markets only to be disappointed by the living with dogmatic results on most occasions.  
But here's the thing, our expectation on markets to perform consistently and profitably over time can be no further from the truth and because we take up these unrealistic presumptions we constantly find ourselves falling into the trap of either tinkering with the existing system by making it more complicated or heading on a renewed mission to find a new one that coincides with current conditions that simply goes "broke" after the market changes appearance.  

And while trading systems form an integral part of the entire trading process, being able to acknowledge it's effectiveness under certain pressures when active holds a greater value to your success as a trader than mindlessly executing a system that can't cope 3/4 of the time.

A trading system provides the structural characteristics of a trade with the goal of promoting organisational flow which allows you to observe your trade performance in an analytical manner, helping you to easily identify areas of improvement.

Risk management should remain in place at all times as an acknowledgement on the part of the trader recognising the markets ability to transition from a favourable environment into a climate that becomes indifferent to rules, reason and return in quick succession.

Finally, psychology is needed to help the trader better cope with these transitional periods, requiring the bulk of a trader's energies in understanding that probably the greatest source of emotional instability is produced from that which we are not in control of.

Processing emotions properly assists the trader in freeing up the pressures of having the feeling of restlessness interrupt the normal course of placing a trade which becomes distorted in not realising the control over the system and risk management.  

Friday, 11 November 2016

Have markets become difficult to trade?

There’s a seemingly stale mood hanging around financial markets since Wednesday after the unexpected election of Donald Trump as the president-elect of the United States of America that caught most off guard and added yet another degree of complexity to an already complicated economic outlook.
Having avoided the event by sitting on the sidelines due to the volatile nature often associated with major political and economic outcomes, I’ve found my trading activity continues to be intimidated by the fear of uncertainty that’s extending it’s presence over financial markets as participants attempt to understand the good(or bad) fortunes that may be brought into the future.
Since the occurrence of the divisive “Brexit” vote which was held on the 23rd June 2016, markets around the world have had the shine with which they once offered handsome returns from, abruptly taken away as ordinary citizens send a stern message to politicians that complacency that’s wrought significant policy decisions will no longer being tolerated.
The first indications of a poor trading environment happened when markets found stability sometime during August when a handful of opportunities exhibited themselves with all the hallmarks of a high probability setup.
From this analysis I decided to seek out setups that possessed the highest possible chance of succeeding which was influenced by the lack of direction and poor performance of markets during the year. My thought process stemmed from the idea that by selectively choosing the best setups to trade might aid my efforts to a decent return that had escaped me this year.
But the failure of every single trade I put on whilst spending a considerable amount of time finding them was enough for me to conclude that the difficulty in picking the right trade was substantially higher than it had been in prior years and thus necessary for me to taper off my trading activity until some traction in either a upward or downward trend can be found.
In saying this my strategy will be paying close attention to multi-year highs and lows of major world indices so as to gauge direction, most particularly when price nears them with a focus on a convincing break up or down as this could possibly indicate a break out of the motionless sideway range but more importantly a shift towards trendiness.
The absence of trendiness as a feature in markets has meant most traders have found it hard to churn out a profit in the last year let alone the last month. The fact that it’s occurred more frequently in recent times does suggest many may have taken the hint and opted to watch proceedings without taking part and in essences saving themselves from ruining their account.
If I’m going to be confident in the markets ability to find a direction, I’ll need to see a strong indication that exposure is being taken up and participation flowing freely again. Until then I’m treading cautiously and patiently in the hope that the uncertainty clears up and we’re able to see conviction in the movements of markets.

Monday, 24 October 2016

What Separates New Traders & Rich Traders with Steve Burns~ Chat with Traders

Steve Burns is an author of a number of educational trading books that have seen him become a favourite amongst many traders around the world. Steve regularly updates his blog with quick and simple lists of things to remember during the trading process. 

You can find out more on Steve's website at www.newtraderu.com

Vlog by Chat with Traders with Aaron Fifield as host

Wednesday, 19 October 2016

How to Master Trading Psychology with Brett Steenbarger ~ Chat with Traders

Brett Steenbarger is a possibly the best source to cite when researching a trader's mindset with years of experience having trading for his own account and helping other traders better equip themselves to cope with the emotional baggage that comes with trading. 

His published a number of books which are titled: 

The Daily Trading Coach: 101 Lessons for Becoming Your Own Trading Psychologist

The Psychology of Trading: Tools & Techniques for Minding the Market

Trading Psychology 2.0: From Best Practices to Best Processes   

Go to Brett's blog to read regular updates about his ongoing thoughts about trading psychology: traderfeed.blogspot.com  

Vlog by Chat with Traders with Aaron Fifield as host

Tuesday, 11 October 2016

How to Develop Expertise in Trading

In the month of October I will be taking leave from my usual blogging activities to concentrate on furthering my studies. I will be posting up various video's I found on Youtube from Trading Vloggers discussing the different parts of trading and how to overcome some of the obstacles you find along the way. I hope you enjoy them as much as I did and it provides you with key insights to take your trading forward.  

To find more videos by this vlogger follow this link: Wikimaniacs 

Monday, 10 October 2016

Interview with Peter Brandt~Chat with Traders

In the month of October I will be taking leave from my usual blogging activities to concentrate on furthering my studies. I will be posting up various video's I found on Youtube from Trading Vloggers discussing the different parts of trading and how to overcome some of the obstacles you find along the way. I hope you enjoy them as much as I did and it provides you with key insights to take your trading forward.  

Interview with Legendary Trader Peter Brand

Vlog by Chat with Traders with Aaron Fifield as host 

Wednesday, 5 October 2016

Floored: A Documentary about Trading Floors in Chicago

In the month of October I will be taking leave from my usual blogging activities to concentrate on furthering my studies. I will be posting up various video's I found on Youtube from Trading Vloggers discussing the different parts of trading and how to overcome some of the obstacles you find along the way. I hope you enjoy them as much as I did and it provides you with key insights to take your trading forward.

If you've ever wondered how the internet and personal computers have impacted the stock market both positively and negatively then this documentary is a must watch. Although much of floor trading has been discontinued the film opens up your mind to how trading emotions are generated through the normal course of the day.

For more info on the documentary follow this link~Floored: The Movie

Tuesday, 4 October 2016

Trading Psychology that Works~Andrew Menaker

In the month of October I will be taking leave from my usual blogging activities to concentrate on furthering my studies. I will be posting up various video's I found on Youtube from Trading Vloggers discussing the different parts of trading and how to overcome some of the obstacles you find along the way. I hope you enjoy them as much as I did and it provides you with key insights to take your trading forward.

See Inside Yourself: A webinar by Andrew Menaker for Market Delta 

Click on the following links for more info and videos from Andrew Menaker & Market Delta




Thursday, 29 September 2016

3 introspective questions to ask yourself when your trading isn't working

Keeping consistency as a trader is one of the most difficult aspects to deal with especially when you're a new trader looking to find some sort of evidence that shows your efforts beginning to pay off after burying hours of firsthand experience into an activity that doesn't always reward endurance.  

There are often periods during the foundational phase in becoming a trader when doubt casts a long shadow over the sustainability of our long term success if encountered with a disastrous losing streak that seemingly puts our skills into question. 

Reflection is a great way of looking back on your trading performance and determine whether you've drifted away from your original plan or take not of market misfortunes that could've swung a heavy blow to your trading account and more importantly your confidence. 

Here's are a few questions to ask yourself when you doubt yourself: 

Have I employed the correct risk management in my trading? 

Often you hear of traders who become so confident in their brief trading results they lose focus of the reasoning behind sizing down the severity of risk and its impact on their trading account and instead go for profit glory. In the end they finish with a broken ego and a trading account with less funds than initially started.  

If you tick this box then you need to relook at the way you deal with risk and if you're able to accept the learning process will have many stumbling blocks of which you will fall upon along the way. By taking on more risk than what you should be you're decreasing your chances of staying in the game for a long period of time.  

Am I utilising the advantages of a trading strategy or taking trades based on guesses?

A crucial indicator in assessing if you've got the skill to be consistent considering most successful traders have a trading strategy that's be back tested and proven effective. Strategies take a lot of the uncertainty of non-planning by having pre-determined rules for the placement of stops and exits as well as entry points. 

However as a new participant you aren't acquainted with a workable trading strategy that fits the exact market conditions your trading in, leaving you vulnerable to being sucked into a financial black hole by basing trade's off guesstimates. 

Strive to devote time in studying the actions of the market by taking down notes and observations of what you see. Start with the most basic of trading indicators, namely price action, and work yourself through the most well known one's so you're understanding is aligned to what others may be waiting on for a signal.     

Can I interpret the market condition and implement the right strategy at the appropriate time?

Market conditions are essential in profiting from trading but knowing when the best times to be in the market as well as the right trading setup to employ at that specific moment makes all the difference. Realising that the market doesn't generate the same type of movement day in and day out goes a long way in avoiding the trap of overtrading and taking trades that don't match the market's expectations. 

The different forms of the market don't unfold themselves in one month let alone a year which is why it takes a number of years of being actively involved to truly understand what you're dealing with and how to tame the nature of the beast. 

Friday, 23 September 2016

Why novice traders often encounter doubt?

It's easily said the primary focus most needed in mastering how to trade lies not in finding an optimal system to profit from consistently but rather dealing with the package of emotions produced as a result of our trading activity. But some forget that although trading textbooks might define the most common place feelings that are distinctive to most traders, namely fear and greed, they often forget other catalytic emotions that almost always lead up to the extremity on both ends of the scale.   

This broad definition of what emotions traders need to be aware of doesn't compensate them for the frustration gone through when faced with the knowledge to vastly identify with either fear or greed but struggle to cope with comprehensively dealing with the specific cause of the emotion. 

The minute there's a realisation that our trading abilities might be beyond what we thought was suffice we immediately plant the seed of doubt in our minds that we aren't good enough at what we doing which has a tremendous impact on our self confidence. 

Doubt, being a secondary emotion to fear, is defined as uncertainty swirling around in the mind stemming from a difference in a perceived outcome which is expected and the actual occurrence of such event. The best way to describe it would be to compare it to a gap in the mind between what you think will happen and the eventuality of it occurring. 

When confirmed, the void between the gap makes the mind feel the need to understand the reason behind the difference, unaware that in the height of fear all possibilities seem likely. Your mind starts filling up with scenarios of what could've gone wrong which doesn't help at all since the amount of variables involved in trading provide an infinite number of scenarios that could unfold. 

How does doubt introduce itself to the new trader? 

If new traders have never encountered the various types of market conditions an asset class can experience at different times, then its expected for them to assume confidently, only having found a system that's worked well in current conditions during the peak of the sentiment, the system they're operating could reliably be implemented on a continuous basis and expect it to churn out handsome profits consistently regardless of the market conditions. 

Nothing can be farther from the truth which becomes apparent when the sudden transition between the markets complacent thinking is replaced with fresh retrospection, shifting the market's sphere of movement and direction into a motion that deviates from the profitable system. This leaves the trader negatively affected after coming off a high built up during the time the system worked till now when it only produces loss after loss, denting confidence and introducing the emotion of doubt into the mix.      

Do they ever come back from this setback?

Of course they do depending on their willingness to take on an active approach in understanding their emotions and the effects they have on the decisions they make in the process of trading. It also comes down in accepting the foundational years of trading will not be showered with profits but rather how well you embraced the learning process above bragging how little you did to reap reward.  

Throwaway the idea ingrained by online trading ads claiming to offer the "secrets" to trading the markets in favour of a accepting the wealth of information required isn't broadcast through "Get Quick Rich" schemes but rather the amount of time spent observing the markets behaviour and more importantly...yourself.  

Thursday, 22 September 2016

How confirmation bias affects your decisions & what to learn from it?

As market participants we're often confronted with an array of emotions when observing the daily ebbs and flows of various financial markets. Most of the time these emotions are brought to the fore by the way we interpret different pieces of information in a number of diverse ways.

However if not managed or understood properly our minds are exposed to the vulnerabilities of misreading the information presented to us by selectively picking which type we choose to process instead of using a holistic approach.  

There's a term in psychology that refers to a person's mindset when his/her ability to perceive a situation without bias is hindered by the insistence of their beliefs being accurate in every detail to such an extent they jeopardize possessing full clarity by ignoring information that refutes their view and paying attention only to that which supports it.

If you haven't heard of it before, it's called confirmation bias, a well documented human tendency that has significant relevance within financial markets, especially towards those responsible for taking decisions based on opinions of an investment.

Depending on the strength of conviction the severity of damage to investment capital will be directly related to those who hold a greater belief in their assertions than others who are willing allow the flow of information to process through their minds without presumption holding a considerable weight in their eventual decision.

Here are a few things we can learn from confirmation bias:


  • Accepting that success is never guaranteed is crucial in understanding that there are no certainties when it comes to dealing in financial markets, a key to managing the risk on your capital in every facet of investing or trading. 
  • Human's natural inclination towards accepting a widely held belief can only be changed by a sudden event that abruptly shakes the variability of thought into motion. This implies we are prone to being complacent but also influenced heavily by the onset of doubt generated after the initial thought is disrupted by the possibilities of alternate outcomes. 
  • Having a fixed belief can be advantageous in finding certainty of trend but there needs to be a balance of thought in realising that at any moment that belief might turn out obsolete which stresses the point of having a limit to the amount of losses you're willing to commit too.  
  • The longer a firmly held belief remains in place, the more accumulated people feel convinced by it and thus a larger reaction when it all changes. 
  • All markets are subject to scrutiny but it's the belief that holds the greatest defence that wins the day. An openness of thought helps in noticing the cracks before they fragment into disbelief. 

Thursday, 15 September 2016

Is your trading being affected by Recency Bias?

Have you ever been in a situation whilst trading where you've felt ecstatic after a series of wins that you begin to feel as if the streak you're on will last forever?

Fast forward a few trades later and suddenly you aren't feeling so great anymore after a string of losses has placed you in the same position as when you started from. Quite a demotivating encounter to be dealt yet one of the most crucial aspects of trading is shone in the spotlight. 

The Recency Bias occurs when your mind becomes accustomed to an existing pattern recurring at a particular moment. The frequency of this pattern is enough to convince your mind of it's relative ease due to it's repeated presence but more importantly to assume that such pattern will remain indefinitely.  

This common misconception is often seen in the early developmental stage of a trader's career when the acceptance of the uniqueness of each event isn't fully understood. Not only does it negatively impact a trader's confidence but it also has the consequence of reaching a conclusive opinion that the effectiveness of the pattern as futile. 

Nothing can be farther from the truth in realising a patterns full potential lies not in the consistency of generating a signal but in the most favourable conditions in which it works well in. As a newcomer to the trading game, you can't be for certain of these conditions when you've only implemented the idea once. Added to the fact that there are a number of different conditions the market undertakes at various times, it's becomes easier to see when deciphering the truth that trading isn't an overnight success story. 

Taking for granting the status quo in markets is a sure way of blindsiding your view when it comes to making the important decisions during the process. Being cognisant of the markets deceptive ways is possibly one way to avoid falling through the cracks however the need to practice it continuously is probably the most difficult part. It requires discipline and patience to learn from it that separates the great traders from the rest who don't make it. 

There's a saying in trading that goes "You're only as good as your last trade". 

This speaks so closely when referring to bias, especially the recency type. One moment you have it and the next it's gone. 

I tend to think of it as being similar to the actors and actresses of Hollywood. There are those who crave the attention of the spotlight  and become more famous for their sideline antics than actual performances but nonetheless get fed up with it after discovering the infringement on their personal lives and how closely people will follow their every moves.

Then there are others who find it more worthwhile concentrating on their roles and producing the best performance that distinguishes them from everyone else that there's no need to go looking for the spotlight, it merely comes to them.